• TS Edouard strengthening is forecast

    From Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to All on Tue Sep 1 08:41:42 2026
    949
    WTNT35 KNHC 011149
    TCPAT5

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Edouard Intermediate Advisory Number 4A
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
    700 AM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026

    ...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS INVESTIGATING EDOUARD...
    ...SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE EDOUARD REACHES THE NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY...


    SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...29.3N 93.0W
    ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM SSE OF CAMERON LOUISIANA
    ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM ESE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    None.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
    * High Island, Texas to the Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line

    A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
    * High Island, Texas to Cameron, Louisiana

    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
    * Port Bolivar, Texas to the Vermilion/Iberia Parish Line

    A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
    inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
    during the next 12 to 24 hours in the indicated locations. For a
    depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service
    Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This
    is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas
    should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from
    rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
    Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local
    officials.

    A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
    within the watch area, in this case within the next 6 to 12 hours.

    A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
    next 6 to 12 hours.

    For storm information specific to your area, including possible
    inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
    local National Weather Service forecast office.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Edouard was
    located near latitude 29.3 North, longitude 93.0 West. Edouard is
    moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A
    west-northwestward to northwestward motion is forecast during the
    next day or two. On the forecast track, the center of Edouard is
    forecast to reach the northwestern Gulf Coast within the warning
    area later today and move inland over southeast Texas tonight.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Significant strengthening is forecast today and Edouard could
    approach hurricane strength before it reaches the northwest Gulf
    coast later today. Rapid weakening is expected after the center
    moves inland.

    Edouard is a small tropical cyclone. Tropical-storm-force winds
    extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center.

    The minimum central pressure based on aircraft data is 1003 mb
    (29.62 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Tropical Storm Edouard can be found in the
    Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO
    header WTNT45 KNHC.

    WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast
    within the warning area later this morning. Hurricane conditions
    are possible within the Hurricane Watch area later today.

    STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
    normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
    moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
    following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
    the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

    High Island, TX to Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, LA...3-5 ft
    Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, LA to Morgan City, LA...1-3 ft

    The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
    the right of the center. Surge-related flooding depends on the
    relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
    greatly over short distances. For information specific to your
    area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
    Service forecast office.

    For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
    please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
    available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?peakSurge.

    RAINFALL: Edouard is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6
    inches with maximum totals up to 9 inches for parts of the Upper
    Texas Coast inland through east-central Texas, with potential for 2
    to 4 inches in far southwest Louisiana. This rainfall is likely to
    produce flash flooding, especially in low-lying and urban areas.
    River flooding may also be possible.

    For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
    Edouard, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total
    Rainfall Graphic available at
    hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
    graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ero.

    TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible this afternoon and evening
    over parts of southwest Louisiana and southeast Texas.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart


    = = = = = = =
    --- MultiMail/DOS
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)