• ADVISORY: Tropical Depression Five Intermediate Advisory Number 1a

    From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Aug 31 18:46:52 2026
    812
    WTNT35 KNHC 311751
    TCPAT5

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Depression Five Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
    100 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

    ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF AMERICA...
    ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE UPPER
    TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA COAST...


    SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...28.0N 90.8W
    ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SSE OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
    ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM SE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    None.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
    * Port Bolivar to the Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line

    A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
    next 24-36 hours.

    For storm information specific to your area, including possible
    inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
    local National Weather Service forecast office.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the depression was centered near latitude
    28.0 North, longitude 90.8 West. The system is moving toward the west-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general motion is
    expected to continue for the next day or two. On the forecast track,
    the center of the system is predicted to reach the northwestern Gulf
    Coast within the warning area on Tuesday.

    Data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters indicate that maximum
    sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is expected during the next day or so, and the
    system is forecast to become a tropical storm by tonight.

    The estimated minimum central pressure based on aircraft data is
    1012 mb (29.89 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Tropical Depression Five can be found in the
    Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO
    header WTNT45 KNHC.

    WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast
    within the warning area on Tuesday, making outside preparations
    difficult or dangerous.

    STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
    normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
    moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
    following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
    the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

    High Island, TX to Vermilion/Iberia Parish Line, LA...1-3 ft

    The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
    the east of the center. Surge-related flooding depends on the
    relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
    greatly over short distances. For information specific to your
    area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
    Service forecast office.

    For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
    please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
    available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?peakSurge.

    RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Five is expected to produce rainfall
    totals of 3 to 6 inches with maximum totals of 9 inches for parts of
    the Upper Texas Coast inland through east-central Texas, with 2 to 3
    inches for Southwest Louisiana. This rainfall could produce flash
    flooding, especially in low-lying and urban areas.

    For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
    Tropical Depression Five, please see the National Weather Service
    Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
    graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ero.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart


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    --- scorpsmtpd
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