• ADVISORY: Tropical Depression Five Advisory Number 2

    From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Aug 31 20:53:48 2026
    325
    WTNT35 KNHC 312053
    TCPAT5

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Depression Five Advisory Number 2
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
    400 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

    ...STORM SURGE WATCH ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTHWESTERN
    GULF COAST...
    ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING EXTENDED EASTWARD ALONG THE COAST OF
    SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...


    SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...28.2N 91.5W
    ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM S OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
    ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM SE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    The Tropical Storm Warning has been extended eastward to the
    Vermilion/Iberia Parish Line in Louisiana.

    A Storm Surge Watch has been issued for the U.S. Gulf Coast from
    High Island, Texas, to the Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, Louisiana.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
    * Port Bolivar to the Vermilion/Iberia Parish Line

    A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
    * High Island to the Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line

    A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
    next 24 hours or so.

    A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
    threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
    coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
    For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
    Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
    hurricanes.gov.

    For storm information specific to your area, including possible
    inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
    local National Weather Service forecast office.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Five was
    located near latitude 28.2 North, longitude 91.5 West. The
    depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h).
    A west-northwestward to northwestward motion is forecast during the
    next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of the system
    is predicted to reach the northwestern Gulf Coast within the warning
    area on Tuesday and move inland over southeast Texas on Tuesday
    night.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected, and the depression is likely to become a
    tropical storm this evening.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Tropical Depression Five can be found in the
    Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO
    header WTNT45 KNHC.

    WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast
    within the warning area by Tuesday morning, making outside
    preparations difficult or dangerous.

    STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
    normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
    moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
    following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
    the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

    High Island, TX to Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, LA...2-4 ft
    Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, LA to Morgan City, LA...1-3 ft

    The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
    the right of the center. Surge-related flooding depends on the
    relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
    greatly over short distances. For information specific to your
    area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
    Service forecast office.

    For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
    please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
    available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?peakSurge.

    RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Five is expected to produce rainfall
    totals of 3 to 6 inches with maximum totals of 9 inches for parts of
    the Upper Texas Coast inland through east-central Texas, with
    potential for 2 to 3 inches in far Southwest Louisiana. This
    rainfall is likely to produce flash flooding, especially in
    low-lying and urban areas. River flooding may also be possible.

    For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with TD
    Five, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall
    Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf and
    the Flash Flood Risk graphic at
    hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ero.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
    Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart


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    --- scorpsmtpd
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