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  • ADVISORY: Tropical Depression Nine Advisory Number 2

    From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Oct 7 02:54:36 2026
    684
    WTNT34 KNHC 070254
    TCPAT4

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Depression Nine Advisory Number 2
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092026
    1000 PM CDT Tue Oct 06 2026

    ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORECAST TO QUICKLY STRENGTHEN...


    SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...22.1N 95.0W
    ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM W OF PROGRESO MEXICO
    ABOUT 605 MI...975 KM SW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 80 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

    Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico and the U.S. northern
    Gulf Coast should closely monitor the progress of this system.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nine
    was located near latitude 22.1 North, longitude 95.0 West. The
    depression is moving toward the east near 5 mph (7 km/h). An east-northwestward motion is expected on Wednesday, followed by a
    turn toward the northeast and north on Thursday and Friday. On the
    forecast track, the depression is expected to pass to the north of
    the Yucatan Peninsula on Thursday and approach the U.S. northern
    Gulf Coast on Friday.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Steady strengthening is forecast, and the depression is expected to
    become a tropical storm early Wednesday and a hurricane on Thursday.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Tropical Depression Nine can be found in the
    Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO
    header WTNT44 KNHC.

    RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Nine is expected to produce rainfall
    amounts of 2 to 4 inches through Thursday across coastal portions of
    the Bay of Campeche with isolated higher amounts possible in the
    states of Campeche and western Yucatan.

    From Friday through the weekend, the system is expected to produce
    rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches, with localized totals up to 10
    inches, across the central U.S. Gulf Coast extending from
    southeastern Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle. Flash and urban
    flooding, along with isolated river flooding, will be possible.

    For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
    Tropical Depression Nine, please see the National Weather Service
    Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
    graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ero.

    WIND: Gusty winds are possible in portions of the Yucatan Peninsula
    on Thursday.

    SURF: Swells are expected to affect the western and northern
    portions of the Yucatan Peninsula beginning on Thursday and spread
    northward toward the Gulf Coast late this week. These swells are
    likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
    Please consult products from your local weather office.

    A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
    at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ripCurrents


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart


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    --- scorpsmtpd
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)