083
WTNT34 KWNH 110237
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias Advisory Number 18
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL092026
1000 PM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

...FLASH FLOODING RISK CONTINUES WITH ISAIAS AS IT MOVES TOWARDS
TENNESSEE...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION -----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.0N 86.7W
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM S OF NASHVILLE TENNESSEE
ABOUT 405 MI...655 KM WSW OF ROANOKE VIRGINIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

Flood Watches are in effect for...
* Portions of the Southeast United States
* Southern Appalachians

High Wind Warning is in effect for...
* Portions of the Southern Appalachians

Wind Advisory is in effect for...
* Portions of the Southeast and Southern Appalachians


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Isaias was located near latitude 35.0 North, longitude 86.7 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 16 mph
(26 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue on Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 24-36 hours
before the cyclone is absorbed by another low pressure system to
its east.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Isaias can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Additional Rainfall totals of 2 to 5 inches with
localized maximum amounts of 10 inches are possible across the
Southern Appalachians from the western Carolinas into western
Virginia. Additional rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches
possible across the Florida Big Bend and northwest Florida bringing
storm totals towards 12 inches. Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches
with localized maximum amounts to 6 inches are possible near the
coasts of the Carolinas.

Flash, urban, and river flooding is possible across the region, with considerable impacts, including landslides, possible across the
southern Appalachians. Significant river flooding across the western
Florida Panhandle will crest today through Sunday.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Isaias, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall
Graphic available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ero.

TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible tonight across eastern
Georgia and the Carolinas.

WIND: Strong wind gusts continue to pose a threat across the
southeastern United States today, particularly near the Southern
Appalachians. Scattered power outages and downed trees and
powerlines may occur, with the risk highest in elevated terrain.

SURF: Swells from Isaias will continue to affect much of the
Gulf coasts of the United States, Mexico, and western Cuba this
weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ripCurrents


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Roth
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